The
main reason of which is our authority’s loosing the sense of reality.The
revolution / nonbloody or bloody/ is a bad thing. The burning eyes in euphoria,
the setting fires in the squares, the alloying and discrepancy of the masses doesn’t
bring anything good. The heroic and romantic perception of the life is temporary.
The revolutions and wars born heroes who become later either unscrupulous oligarchs
or "bomjs" / people without domiciles/. But mostly it bears dregs of
society /for example Nairi Hunanian/, who pretend themselves as heroes. The people’s
instinct of self-defense always pushes them away from revolutions. And only the
arrogant and ambitious behavior of our authorities that can lead to that chaos.
The West realized revolutions with the help of its financial resources and
emissaries in Serbia, Georgia and the Ukraine. The West in the mentioned cases
use the elections as a pretense when the post soviet authoritarian bureaucracy
/first of all the military/ can’t get the people’s voting resort to various election
falsifications.That pretense always exists and will exist as no just election
has been carried out since the middle of 90s. But besides the pretense the reason
and prior condition are also necessary. The reason is understandable: to change
the Russian puppet into own puppet. But how the West has pretense and reason,
how to finance the opposition and declare the elections are falsified it can’t
provoke to revolution if there isn’t a complex of preconditions such as a) the
extreme social dissatisfaction of the people, b) the extreme corruption of the
authority, the meaningless self-confidence and non punishment, c) the blockade
of all canals of public-authority dialogue by the authority. Who can say there
aren’t those preconditions in Armenia? Perhaps only Garnik Isagulian.It’s
spoken about "a" and "b" points everyday, it seems they don’t
need in additional interpretation. According to "c" point the authority
do everything to create prior conditions for revolution. One of the unforeseen
steps was the serving of TV to their own praise. When, for example, the "Hailur’s"
commentators are engaged in Kocharian’s apology and pick on the opposition they
think they’re good to him. /Perhaps the president thinks in the same way/. But
in reality speaking about things that are far from the real life such kind of
apologists only irritate people and provoke the revolutionary spirits. The people’s
"breaking off" strategy would be proved if we lived in the communist
regime /with its "Vremia", Communistic party and concentration camps/.
But it isn’t substantively to affirm a communist regime separately in 21st century.
Conclusion: if the authorities don’t improve themselves it is quite possible
the West will do a revolution and suggest its opposition candidate after usual
falsifying the results of elections by the authority criminal in 2008 elections.
I’m inclined to think that candidate won’t be either from ANM or "Justice"
block. But about it for the next time.Aram Abrahamian
