“It is obvious that the decision to transfer him to Azerbaijan and to pardon has been made with the mutual consent of Turkey and Hungary, but I don’t rule out that other states were aware of the affair not taking part in it directly,” Armen Minasyan, a political scientist said.
According to the latter, bargaining is not novel in international relations, “It has always been an applicable tool, in this case, the affair is just related to our interests, therefore, we make emotional responses. One should collect more resources focusing on the solution of problems. There is a possibility to benefit from the situation, particularly to get certain advantages in the relations with the European Union. And the issue of ever returning Karabakh to Azerbaijan should be taken off the agenda of the Karabakh issue.”
According to the political scientist, the relations with NATO should not be revised, but be complied with the situation, “NATO has an obvious problem, since the incident took place in the framework of its program. Besides Hungary, NATO was also responsible for effectively carrying out the program and ensuring the security of the participants. Most probably, NATO should draw conclusions applying them to the relations with its partners.” Talking about the response of the Minsk Group, our interlocutor said, “Concern about the tensions in the region can be read between the lines of the statement. The message was that the issue doesn’t have a military solution. It is important that Azerbaijan realizes that, whereas Azerbaijan has ruined the whole work done by the Minsk Group in recent years at one blow impeding the efforts to establish peace. Regardless of what has happened, the level of probability that the war will resume is high.”
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Talking about the response of Moscow regarding what has happened, Armen Martirosyan quoted the “alibi” of the latter that the reason for a late response was the weekend, “One can assume that Moscow was actually waiting for its partners’ response, since their opinion at least on the Karabakh issue is the same.”
The political scientist is convinced that making a hero of Safarov cannot have an impact on the Azerbaijani army, “Rational people prevail in Azerbaijan. They don’t say it publicly, but they realize that one must not make a hero of a moron. And the military capacity of the Azerbaijani army is actually based on the sum of other factors and not on Safarovs.”
Louise SUKIASYAN
