So it has been in the history of Russia and many other countries
On September 1, 1983, the South Korean “Boeing -747” passenger plane was shot down by “Su-5” Soviet fighter. Because of the pilot’s mistake, “Bowing-747”, which was performing the flight from New York to Seoul, intruded the Soviet Union airspace of about 500 km depth, and the Soviet armed forces could not find a better way but to take away the life of 269 innocent people. The official explanation was that allegedly the civil aircraft was performing a kind of spy operation, which, actually, was very far to be real. After this accident, already tense Soviet-American relations were severely strained. And, only 8 years later the Soviet Union collapsed. On July 17, 2014, the Malaysian “Boeing 777” passenger plane collapsed in Donetsk region, which was under the control of pro-Russian armed forces.
The plane was performing the flight from Amsterdam to Kuala-Lumpur, and 298 people were killed. The most likely hypothesis is that this civilian aircraft was hit by the militants by the “Buk” type of rocket provided by Russia. It must be assumed that it has happened by mistake, the real target was the Ukrainian military-transportation aircraft, but it is not excluded that under the influence of Russian traditional drink or due to the lack of professionalism, the fighters have confused the “Bowing” with this aircraft. What will happen to Russia in the next 8 years, it is hard to say? Destroying the aircraft mistakenly, under the influence of alcohol or anti-Western paranoia is a symbolic event. Military power, strength, especially in modern history, never provides a decisive advantage. After fighting in Vietnam for a few years, the United States realized that this country should leave alone. With its all military forces, Russia was fighting with Chechnya militants, until it decided to find common grounds with one of “tapes”. In addition to strength, “Su-15” and “Buk”, you should also have brains. Otherwise, to put it mildly, you would be in trouble. For Russia, this “serious problem” has always been the revolution. Today, when more than 80 percent of the country’s population is in “patriotic euphoria”, which is incited by federal TV channels for 24 hours a day, talking about revolution seems to be from the science fiction genre. But, Europe’s, and not only Europe’s history suggests that all the wars usually end in revolutions. Regardless of how it will end, in fact, Russia’s waging war against Ukraine (Would “Malorossiya” acquire independence? Would it join Russia or will acquire high autonomy in the composition of Ukraine?), under this economic condition, under this theft and level of corruption, under this “Russian idea and missionary work” unsubstantiated pretensions, under disorganization of the army, plus, under these unprecedented sanctions by the West, a blowup expects Russia. Nothing good expects us, Armenians, from this blowing up. Just as we definitely will suffer from sanctions imposed against “Rosneft” or “Gazprom”. Naturally, today, it is not possible for us to do and we should not do any sharp movement, we just should try regulating our domestic life by not contradicting anyone or rely on anybody. Preferably, again without revolutions and striped-shirt sailors. Just for the future, we must take into account that Russia, in the turmoil of wars and revolutions, will be reluctant, and even in case of a great desire, it would not be able to ensure our security. Just as a century ago. Russia is reluctant and would be unable to contribute to our country’s economic development. At least because it would have to be focused on the efforts of stopping its own collapse. As the famous Russian publicist, Alexander Nevzorov, recently, said, Russia wants to act the role of a dinosaur, which persistently refuses to development. Ukraine has decided to take the way of development and thereby has caused the wild rage of the dinosaur. We just need to take all of this into consideration for Armenia. Including our politicians. Unless, of course, they think of the fate of Armenia and Artsakh, rather than dreaming about receiving the “scepter” of a governor from Putin. This “scepter”, be sure, would be very temporary.
ARAM ABRAHAMYAN
