According to DA operative data, on January 20 and the morning of January 21, the ceasefire regime in the Nagorno-Karabakh and Azerbaijani armed forces Contact line was violated by the enemy about 300 times. On January 20, the morning of January 21, close to 03:00 a.m., an attempt of subversive intelligence penetration was initiated by the enemy in the direction of Karvachar defense of Nagorno-Karabakh and Azerbaijani armed forces Contact line. During the fight, soldier Nahapet Asatryan was killed and Hovhannes Gasparyan was wounded. In this regard, Aravot.am talked to expert of Razm.info military website Vram Khojagoryan.
He noted that still in the end of 2014, when Azerbaijani Defense Minister Zakir Hasanov was summarizing the year-end, he had mentioned in the to-do list for 2015 that it will not leave Armenia calm and quiet and will constantly exert pressure as long as Nagorno-Karabakh lands are not liberated. “There is a clear decision, the tactic is decided. Azerbaijan will definitely maintain tension in the frontline. I did not associate these events with the events in Gyumri. Even in the tensed days, we noticed that there seems to be a bit of retreat from their adopted tactics, I do not think it was for humanitarian reasons. In any case, a decline in tension was observed during the days of clashes.” Vram Khojagoryan noticed that the Armenian side has recorded combat losses during the month of January, while the Azerbaijani side was still silent on this matter.
According to him, Azerbaijani side has come to the conclusion that it is preferable not to report on any loss. “We follow the reactions in the social networks. Of course, we cannot rely on the users’ records, but in any case, when we look at social networks, there are users who say that their friends have noted that the Azerbaijani side suffered losses, but it did not appear in the official release.” According to the expert, the year 2015 compared to other years is going to be full of sad events and tension. “I rule out that we would have a large number of combat losses and do not give at least proportional response to them. Nevertheless, I think that time will come that Armenian’s patience will be exhausted like in August and there will be such a degree of disproportionate response that will once again make them feel restrained for some time.”
Ami CHICHAKYAN
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Photo from Vram Khojagoryan’s Facebook page