“Now, it is a war and ceasefire is also a temporary phenomenon, especially since it is a verbal agreement. It is not asserted by a document, even the earlier ceasefire that was documented and signed, it was not fully maintained, not to speak about this one, when it is a verbal agreement about the temporary cease of larger-scale operations. It has been several years since they say that Azerbaijanis may possibly start a new attack and it is more likely after the April fighting,” opines the military expert Karen Vrtanesyan.
According to the expert, it is possible that the Armenian and Azerbaijani sides are waiting for a convenient political moment, an accumulation of some supplies and resources. Referring to the rumors in the media that Russia is picking up the Karabakh baton and is going to solve the conflict through painful concessions, the military expert continued, “If the Russian side had a serious intention to regulate the issue, it would do it long ago and would not wait. At the moment, I do not see any such intention or a sign that Russia wants to regulate something. Perhaps, it does not stem for Russia’s interest to provoke a large-scale war on its borders but I cannot imagine how they are going to regulate something so that it does not cause a new war.” Referring to the rumors that “the Armenian soldiers destroyed the enemy’s ambushed tank on the line of contact”, the expert said, “DA reported that there was no such incident, it is the only thing that I know.”
Arpine SIMONYAN