When analyzing the results of any elections, we must rely on the data that are declared by the Central Electoral Commission. Just like analyzing the economic situation in Armenia, it is necessary, in my opinion, to rely on the data of the National Statistical Service (which incidentally is not particularly reliable). Of course, we can dispute the announced data and say that they are a lie, inflated and drawn, and perhaps, in many cases, this might be the case it is true but these complaints and discontents, absolutely being applicable in terms of the campaign, do not mean anything purely from the analytical light.
When the oppositions are saying that the government did this and that, immediately two questions arise: a/ were you expecting that this time it would be different? b/ and what have you done to prevent it? The complaints repeated over 21 years have lost their freshness and are no longer perceived as an explanation. I tend even to believe that this monotonous nature of these “post-electoral processes” instigates citizens to go to the polling stations in “thick rows” and to vote in favor of the authorities.
And so, let us analyze the data published by the CEC being sure that the recalculations will not change anything essential. The snapshot is as such that the Republican Party has not received an absolute majority in the cities of Gyumri and Vanadzor, and irrespective of the fact of whether they will have a mayor or not, in all cases, they will have to reckon in the Council with the PAP, “Armenian Renaissance”, also “Bright Armenia” in Vanadzor and with GALA in Gyumri. The specification of the parliamentary system is in this (in this case, a “Community Council”), the winner does not get everything anymore.
The above-mentioned political parties, by registering their results, should think about developing the success as well as on about cooperation. But not about the offer of cooperating in an “Armenian manner” – “come and join me, enroll my staff and I will cooperate.” The remaining opposition parties, particularly, the “Civil Contract”, ANC and “Unification” first of all must admit their defeat (The “Civil Contract”, in honor thereto, has admitted its defeat) and then review their forms of political struggle, the rhetoric, and perhaps the form of solving the organizational matters.
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If the outcomes of the elections in 2017 (I repeat, the CEC officially declared outcomes) are like the elections in Gyumri and Vanadzor, it already would be a certain progress as it would undermine the monopoly of one political party no matter how it is called. This time dictates so.
Aram ABRAHAMYAN
