Yesterday a man came up to me in the subway and, in his words, asked me a “professional” question, “May Trump recognize the Armenian Genocide?” I said that it is excluded; from my point of view it contradicts the national interests of the US, a part of which is the allied relations with Turkey (how painful it may be to us). Instead it seems to me that it streams from the same interest to establish normal relationships between Armenia and Turkey and to oppose the “Russian scenarios” of the Artsakh issue. But of course I could not explain all these in the noise of the subway, I just said, “it is excluded”. But my interlocutor put forward his argument, “But he may recognize in any case, he says no Muslim should enter this country.”
Surely, Trump literally did not say such thing but during the pre-election campaign he made some “anti-Muslim” statements in consequence of which the believers of that religion voted for Clinton. Moreover, in favor of my interlocutor I can present some of the discontents of Trump about some allies, who did not behave like allies. It can be understood from the context that he meant Turkey and Saudi Arabia, which secretly or openly support the Islamic extremists.
But here the most important question comes forward; what presidential candidate Trump said will significantly differ from what president Trump will do. Yes, he is a “non-systemic” figure, but the system, today’s political elite, including the congressmen and senators, will “explain” to him, that the US President must play by a certain rules regardless of the fact that he has the support of the citizens and they are tired of the American political and economic elite (and Trump is just such a president who enjoys trust).
For example, candidate Trump was saying that they should support Assad so that he would remain in power but the United States will not do that. He was saying that they should fraternize with Putin but that country will not become allies with today’s Russia, though, let’s hope that today’s extreme tension will reduce. Candidate Trump has offended Angela Merkel, but on the contrary, Germany and the US will remain stable allies. There will not be tectonic changes in the foreign policy of the US. The pre-election rhetoric will be forgotten very quickly.
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ARAM ABRAHAMYAN
