The dispute about Ilham Aliyev’s rational or irrational thinking seemed so interesting to me that I will also allow myself to express a few thoughts. The RA first President opines that the Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has a rational thinking while Ter-Petrosian’s opponents bringing moral, values and other types of arguments express their disagreement.
What do we mean by saying rational thinking? Specifically, Ilham Aliyev, I am sure, takes the fork with the food to his mouth rather than to his ear. I also have no doubt that he is not trying to put on his shirt on the feet. But the matter is about rationalism of politician and statesman, which as he himself – the first president – notes is “the ability to assess the reality correctly and to perceive the cause and effect of the phenomena.” In 1933, Hitler wanted to create the “Third Reich”. Had he assessed the reality correctly? I think, not. His goal was absurd chimera which deserved the life of millions of people. Lenin sought to consolidate all proletarians around the world with global revolution and therewith, create a new and fairer world order. Did he perceive the causal and effect connections? Again, not. And the opposite example. Stalin who was not less cannibal than the previous two set a goal to modernize the country and make it industrial and a superpower in terms of military thu the establishment of a brutal dictatorship. It was a rational goal, and villainy, insidiousness and cunning cannot “cancel” this fact.
Given all this, let’s go back to Ilham Aliyev’s thinking. We already found out that rationalism is “neutral” to good or bad, fair or unfair objectives. But let’s clarify whether the objectives of these statesmen are realistic. Obviously, his goal is to “reoccupy” Artsakh with the help of weapons, and to fulfill this goal, he is getting ready for new bloody clashes. Can we insist that Aliyev is assessing the situation correctly and perceives the cause and effect connection? I think, not. He calculated his country’s economic, political and military resources wrong.
For our country and Azerbaijan, the rational solution to the problem is the peaceful concession for the simple reason that there is no drastic difference in resources between our countries as it was between the Great Britain and Argentina (during the Falkland crisis in 1982) or between Russia and Georgia in the summer of 2008. Those who say that there is such a drastic difference are simply engaged in propaganda.
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In short, it seems to me that Ilham Aliyev’s thinking is not rational. And he is not alone in that respect: there are also many irrational thinking people in Armenia.
Aram ABRAHAMYAN
