At Monday’s press conference, the second president of Armenia Robert Kocharyan raised a number of questions related to the 44-day war that have not been answered yet. The first and most important question, according to Robert Kocharyan, is if the war was inevitable, if the war was provoked intentionally, or, to put it mildly, by political naivety.
“In general, every state and every government, before making a decision to start a war, must make a rather in-depth analysis. First of all, they compare the capability of their armed forces with the enemy’s armed forces. They compare and try to assess the internal political situation of that country. Is that country able to consolidate its society? They try to understand the capabilities of the enemy’s government. Is this a government that can manage the war? The next step is to try to understand how their opponent’s allies and the military-political units that make up their opponent’s army will behave. This is just a classic analysis, without which no such decisions are made. When those facts coincide in a favorable way for them, a decision is made to start a war. This is the alphabet, the alphabet of public administration.”
Starting from 2018, according to the second President of the Republic of Armenia, the government of the Republic of Armenia has done everything to coincide with all these circumstances and for Azerbaijan to assess the situation as an opportunity to resolve the Karabakh issue through war. “The negotiation process has reached a deadlock. By adopting contradictory statements and three different approaches in three years, they caused the Minsk Group to not trust Armenia. An opinion has been formed that we are sneakily trying to avoid a substantive negotiations process. The army has been discredited in various criminal cases, society has been divided into blacks and whites, and we have shown that there is a chaotic, unsystematic government in Armenia, and during the war such a style of government is simply deadly for the country. They have damaged relations with Russia and the CSTO. This fact is known. It is clear that the CSTO as a unit will not take an active part in all this.”
According to Robert Kocharyan, all of this put Armenia in isolation and no country condemned Azerbaijan for starting a war. “The impression was that we do not have a Foreign Ministry. Although we had and continue to have experienced diplomats, as a structure, it simply did not exist.” According to Robert Kocharyan, the Armenian government did everything possible to involve Turkey in this war, and the Minister of Defense’s statement “new war, new territories” left no alternative but
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for Azerbaijan to simply fall into the arms of Turkey to reduce their risks. Robert Kocharyan reiterated that if the Armenian authorities were Turkish agents, they would have done the same thing to achieve their goal.
Nelly Grigoryan
