“In fact, there is at least an economic war between Russia and the West. Western politicians, even at the level of the countries’ leaders, declare that their goal is to destroy the Russian economy,” political analyst Beniamin Poghosyan said at the “Russian-Ukrainian war: The price of victory and defeat” online discussion. In response to the question of what consequences the Russian-Ukrainian war can have for Russia in terms of internal politics, Beniamin Poghosyan answered., “The West emphasizes two scenarios. A coup d’etat, when the Russian financial elite, plus a certain military elite, will try to carry out a coup d’etat and Putin will be removed from the presidency. This is one of the western scenarios.
I hope that these sanctions, which immediately hit the influential people in the Russian elite, will lead to the fact that this elite will try to carry out a coup d’etat. And the second. The somewhat long-term Western scenario is that economic sanctions will significantly reduce the standard of living of the average Russian, who already did not shine.
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If Putin does not step down by a coup d’etat, the other scenario is for him to step down in mass protests, as they say in the West, in starving demonstrations. Of course, nothing can be ruled out, but in my opinion, at least for now, the probability of these two scenarios is quite small. It is quite unlikely that at least in the coming months or until the end of 2022, Vladimir Putin will be ousted, either by a coup d’état or by a revolt of tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of hungry people.”
Tatev HARUTYUNYAN
