It is difficult to analyse the results of the Armenian prime minister’s visits to Sochi and Tehran accurately because of the current infoglut. Supporters of various internal or external political waves in Armenia take separate sentences or phrases from the three-sided announcement issued in Sochi, and comment on those according to their previously conceived beliefs, often prejudices. Obviously, members of parties and individuals who defend their interests will act accordingly, by, for example, saying that Pashinyan’s visits saved Armenia, or vice versa – completely ruined it.
As they say, every person, and in this case, faction, has their own perception of “truth”. But there is also the actual, objective truth, which isn’t some kind of an announcement or formula, it is a path to knowledge. And if we try to follow that path, the actual political scientists, experts, analysts (not the propagandists of a certain wave), as well as the reflective, “non-politicized” people will try to find several answers to the questions.
Did the probability of new attacks by the Azerbaijani army on Armenian borders decrease after the meetings held in Russia and Iran? Is there any guarantee that Azerbaijani units are going to leave Armenian sovereign territories before, during or after measures like “demarcation” and “delimitation”?
Aliyev speaks against any mentions of “Nagorno-Karabakh” during negotiations or documentations of the meetings, as he finds that issue invalid and that place non-existent. Putin, despite calling it an internationally recognized Azerbaijani territory a number of times, still wants it to have some kind of a special status (naturally, for his country’s interest, not ours). Is Russia capable of pressuring Azerbaijan and will its capability fall in case of failures in the Ukraine?
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Is there any point in maintaining the “western” direction of negotiations with Azerbaijan? Are the two of those processes compatible?
There are a lot more questions, of course, the ones I mentioned are just examples. I want to show a direction of thinking without the factional and emotional “burden”. Those who have definite answers to those questions are delusional, I reckon.
Aram ABRAHAMYAN
