The risk of Azerbaijan’s invasion of Armenia in the coming days and weeks, which the Lemkin Institute for Genocide Prevention warned, is always there for political commentator Armen Baghdasaryan after the 44-day war.
“That danger is not only now; it has existed for a long time and always after the 44-day war. The negotiation phase, by and large, has nothing to do with it because the Azerbaijani side is trying to use these negotiations only to take additional things from Armenia, and the essential for Azerbaijan is Syunik. They are trying to take all of Syunik. Aliyev’s words that we will return there, not with tanks but passenger cars, are not accidental.
In other words, they have at least two options to tear Syunik from Armenia, either by military means or by a so-called peace agreement, which will also include the return of Azerbaijani refugees, the establishment of the Azerbaijani population in Syunik, aggression allegedly for their security, etc.
In other words, this issue is always on the agenda of Azerbaijan; they are considering both peaceful and military secession at the same time, and which one is likely at the moment depends not so much on the desire of Azerbaijan or Armenia but on the international situation. If the global crisis is very tense, if the world’s attention is focused on the Middle East, Israel, and Ukraine, Azerbaijan will use the opportune moment and try to solve this issue by military means,” political commentator Armen Baghdasaryan told us.
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Let us remind you that the Lemkin Institute for Genocide Prevention has announced a red flag alert for the Republic of Armenia regarding the alarming potential of Azerbaijan invading Armenia in the coming days and weeks.
Arpine SIMONYAN
