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Most optimistic scenario constitutes population of the Republic of Armenia to exceed 3 million in 2050

June 17,2017 16:37

“Birth rate from 1985 to 90 has amounted to about 80k, death rate and migration were low and since the independence, throughout the cold and somber years of the 90s, 400k citizens left the country without return. The birth rate decreased in the 2000s, amounting to 35k,” the Executive Representative of the UN Population Fund Garik Hayrapetyan represented the data. He noted that the birth rate in the Republic of Armenia is 1.6-1.7 now, “It means that natural reproduction does not take place. Now we have 13% of the 60+ aged population. Death index will gradually rise.”

Hayrapetyan presented the data of the latest survey by the UN Population Fund, pursuant to which, by the most optimistic scenario, it is possible that the population of the Republic of Armenia will rise to 3 million and 200.000 until 2050. “This is possible if serious policy is conducted towards the stabilization of demography and if unpredicted situations, such as the April War do not occur. And according to the most pessimistic scenario, the number of the population will decrease up to less than 2 million within the mentioned period of time. And the number of births can have a sudden decrease from 2024-2030,” told Garik Hayrapetyan. He also noted that the Republic of Armenia is one exclusive country which recorded a reduction of sex-selective abortions within 5 years. An EU-funded campaign project is going to be implemented in the near future on this topic.

 

 

Luiza SUKIASYAN

 

 

 

 

 

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