Although Serzh Sargsyan’s second term just started, Armenia’s political forces are already possibly active, and display particular interest in the upcoming presidential elections. Some of them probably assume that the current President is unlikely to succeed until the end of the second period. Few of them think that for the upcoming presidential elections should be prepared from now on, more correctly, not to be prepared, but to get involved in already commenced presidential struggle. It is already obvious that the Prime Minister is not sitting restless to this respect, and it is likewise evident that the Prime Minister’s opponents are not sitting idle, and, in parallel, the third parties are also trying to become a participant and a factor of commenced struggle, and all of these is not surprising at all, because even those who are slow on the uptake have realized that you are nothing if you have no power in Armenia, should you have the power, you are everything. Those who are slow on the uptake have realized that the change of authorities in Armenia could become a reality if at least some of the opposition parties unite. At the moment, the opposition in Armenia is too much, and the opportunity of them to unite is too little. At the moment, the opposition forces are more than in the past, as usual, the ANC is an opposition and, as always, the “Heritage”, and, in certain cases, the ARF, and, as always, Sefilyan and supporters, plus already the Pre-Parliament. Apparently, very soon Nikol and his supporters will be heard about. And, as Oskanyan was promising several months ago that the alternative PAP finally and ultimately will also become an opposition in September. Plus, the youth that was distinguished with their civic initiatives during summer, without which it is hard to imagine incoming political events. Life has repeatedly showed that the more the opposing forces are, less is the vision of them to unite, especially because the pretensions of the most eminent of them do not give them comfort, and each of them claims that the unity of the opposition takes place around its axis. No matter how much the opposition and pro-authorities underestimate the chances of the second President Kocharyan, and avoid seeing them, Kocharyan’s factor was and is, and it becomes especially more noticeable when Russia and Putin, personally, are skeptical about the current President. Sadly mistaken are those who believe that Kocharyan will return personally, but he will bring his favorite person to the power. Kocharyan has once brought his preferred candidate, and I think he was not particularly pleased with his deed. Mistaken are those who believe that Serzh Sargsyan with regard to his successor will principally or consistently stop at specifically one or the other. All those who will further ensure the security of the current President, in the sense of his personality and property, are preferable for Serzh Sargsyan. And as such, believe, are more than one. Not to speak about that at the decisive moment, the approaches of Kocharyan and the current President may rematch again. Let’s withstand and live in order to see.
Voskan YEREVANTSI
