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July 13,2022 10:30

To tell the truth, I find it difficult to say what the parliamentary opposition is busy with now. As far as I understand, they are neither in the parliament nor on the street. It remains to assume that the opposition MPs went on a long summer vacation. Probably, in their opinion, the threat to Armenia and, especially, Artsakh has eased, or there is no longer a need to counter that threat. To be completely honest, I did not understand what they wanted.

Not to negotiate with Turkey? But it means that Russia will negotiate about the problems that concern us instead of us. Revise the tripartite statement of November 9 confirming our defeat? But that, in addition to everything else, would require an accelerated pace of preparation for war, which I believe will happen anyway. In short, the parliamentary opposition has problems.

What are the so-called extra-parliamentary forces doing? Most of them are busy criticizing the parliamentary opposition. Mainly because that opposition is allegedly Putin’s 5th column. If they hate the Russian president so much, they should probably notice that Pashinyan is Putin’s most loyal ally, and it is the Russian leader’s warm wish that the Prime Minister of Armenia stay in his position in the near future.

What is the government doing? As always, thinking about providing the most comfortable conditions for its reproduction. Apparently, two measures will be taken within the framework of that “program.” The first is that the current mayor of Yerevan will resign so that the election campaign for the capital’s city council elections lasts as short as possible (the special elections provide for this), which will enable Avinyan to become the mayor without a serious fight. Second, change the Constitution, return to the semi-presidential system, and hold presidential elections next year. If this is done, the idea is simple: first, the current prime minister’s chances of reelection are higher now than his party’s victory four years from now. The cult of Pashinyan, based on hatred towards his predecessors, will most likely not be so warm after four years. Secondly, now Pashinyan’s competitor will be Kocharyan again, whom many do not like, to put it mildly.

In that context, the desire of Civil Contract members to deprive the parliamentary opposition of their mandates does not seem logical. The Kocharyan opposition is exactly what any government can dream of. It is not excluded, however, that it will be possible to attach the “Kocharyan” label to any opponent.

 

Aram Abrahamyan

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